16:43 · Fort Erie

Race 2 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 80
2/1
Kiddie Holiday silks

John Simms

7yo Gelding · 8-10

Ami's Holiday - Kid's Collection (Lemon Drop Kid)

Ismael Mosqueira60%0/2John Simms60%
341444
6.0Going 10.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

29/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par29/0612/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%29/06Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%27/07Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%24/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%7/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.4%Ahead 3/4
4
3
OR 78
4/1
Fairway To Heaven silks

Pasquale Saieva

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Girvin - Absoulute Heaven (Not For Love)

Helen Vanek60%Nick Mileni60%
243314
8.0

Class Advantage

8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/0512/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par12/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 86%8/05Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%30/06Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 50%27/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%18/08
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.3%Ahead 1/4
3
Market Fav2
OR 82
9/5
Blue Max silks

Kevin Buttigieg

8yo Gelding · 8-8

Silver Max - She's Stella Marie (Leroidesanimaux)

Steve Jadoo60%Kevin Buttigieg60%
615223
7.0

Class Advantage

23/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/03 · mark par23/031/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 17%23/03Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 20%12/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%18/08Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.6%Ahead 1/4
5
4
OR 82
7/2
Paperback Hero silks

Reginald Johnston

8yo Gelding · 8-10

Speightster - Page Dancer (Hennessy)

Leo Salles60%2/4Roy Agostino60%
526461
6.0Going 10.0

Class Advantage

20/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/10 · mark par20/1031/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par29/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%20/10Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 17%29/06Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%20/07Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%3/08
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -30.6%Ahead 1/4
2
5
OR 83
8/1
Bingo's Grind silks

Nick Mileni, Jr

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Outwork - Catbird Seat (Bluegrass Cat)

Kirk Johnson60%1/8Nick Mileni60%
257243
6.0

Class Advantage

29/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par29/0612/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%29/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%27/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 25%31/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%15/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.4%Ahead 1/4