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12:43 · Hamilton

Racing TV Apprentice Handicap

1m 68yGoing TBCClass 64YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 53
3/1
Hostelry silks

Dennis Clayton And Ruth Carr

Hostelry

9yo Mare · 9-7

Coach House - Queens Jubilee (Cayman Kai)

Warren Fentiman60%0/1Mrs R Carr70%
545162
7.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Got off the mark for the year in classified event at Ayr last month and has continued in good heart in 2 handicaps since, runner-up at Beverley 5 days ago despite meeting trouble. Can make her presence felt.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/0611/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par16/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 68y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%29/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%1/08Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 58%24/08Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 89%16/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.0%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 49
3/1
Little Ted silks

Mr M J Macleod

Little Ted

9yo Gelding · 9-3

Cityscape - Speedy Utmost Meg (Medicean)

Jake Dickson60%T D Easterby
226422
7.0
Hood

Quirky sort but arrives in decent heart with in-frame efforts on his last 3 starts, again finding only one too strong in 8-runner handicap at Ayr 3 days ago. Drops back in grade here so he enters calculations.

Class Advantage

25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/064/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par18/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 68y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 92%25/06Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 88%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 55%25/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%31/08Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%18/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.8%Ahead 3/4
2
2
OR 55
10/1
Daring Leader silks

D J Jones & M T Brougham

Daring Leader

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Acclamation - Daring Life (Cape Cross)

Lauren Young60%C N Kellett60%
838187
5.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Capitalised on a falling mark under a positive ride at Pontefract in June. However, has failed to repeat that effort in 2 subsequent outings, down the field at Newcastle 16 days ago. Cheekpieces now go back on.

Class Advantage

9/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par9/0417/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par5/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 68y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%9/04Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%16/06Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 13%27/07Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.9%Ahead 2/4
1
Market Fav4
OR 55
11/4
April Diamond silks

Iain Jardine Racing Club

April Diamond

5yo Mare · 9-9

Make Believe - Paddy Again (Moss Vale)

Cara Tuke60%−7lbI Jardine
652061
6.0

Lightly raced 5-y-o who got back on the up when winning 10-runner handicap at Carlisle (7f) a month ago, knuckling down well. Up in trip and could be capable of scoring again now that she's up and running.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0519/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 68y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 17%5/05Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 86%15/06Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%31/07Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%19/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.5%Ahead 3/4
6
5
OR 48
12/1
Millbuie silks

N J Dalgarno & W R Ellis

Millbuie

5yo Gelding · 9-2

Adaay - Henpecked (Footstepsinthesand)

William Pyle70%0/6Ewan Whillans60%
037236
5.0
BlinkersTongue strap

Long-standing maiden who has placed 4 times in classified events this summer, the latest when third at Ayr (1m) last month. However, found things tougher back in handicap company when well held at Newcastle (1¼m) 19 days ago.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/065/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 68y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 10%10/06Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%13/07Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 78%10/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%2/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.5%Ahead 1/4
7
7
OR 45
15/2
Hale Bopp silks

Macleod, Pollard & Carter Brae Racing

Hale Bopp

8yo Gelding · 9-0

Belardo - Emperors Pearl (Holy Roman Emperor)

Amie WaughD Bourke
300376
3.0

Useful handicapper in Ireland in his prime, though without a win now for 3 years. Making first run since leaving P. Sweeney, was well backed but finished only sixth of 8 at Musselburgh 9 days ago. Interesting to see if the support returns.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/051/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par11/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par25/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par27/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength86%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 68y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 87%20/05Pos 14 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 14 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 13%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%11/06Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 45%27/08Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%12/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.2%Ahead 1/4
4
6
OR 50
10/1
Toy Soldier silks

Miss Lucinda V Russell

Toy Soldier

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Soldier's Call - Royal Highness (Dream Ahead)

Lexie Clarkson0/3−7lbL Russell & M Scudamore
226875
3.0Class ↓4

Fair form in handicaps in Ireland in the first half of the year, runner-up at around 7f both starts in June. Has made a low-key start for current yard, though, fifth of 10 over this C&D 19 days ago.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/0630/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength79%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 68y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 90%19/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 6 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 6 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 50%5/07Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%7/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%2/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.6%Ahead 1/4