4
Golden Fifties
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 51
Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Maiden Plate(for All Maidens) · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Scottsville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength61%
Delivery trend +14.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 08/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |