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13:45 · Fairview

Nelson Mandela Bay Racing Poly Challenge(open - 2nd Leg (non-blk Type))

6f 211yStandard3YO plusPOLYTRACK8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 99
6/5
Mercantour silks

Mr P J Moor

Mercantour

7yo Gelding · 9-11

Var - Winter Wood (Western Winter)

Kabelo Matsunyane60%1/4Alan Greeff60%
945112
9.0Going 10.0

3-time C&D winner. Thirteen wins from 44 Flat runs. 2 wins from 5 runs this year. Latest win here in July. Good second of 11 in minor event at this course (6f, 15/10) 35 days ago. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage

29/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a29/1130/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/03 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a1/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 6f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%29/11Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%20/03Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 90%21/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.0%Ahead 2/4
2
2
OR 87
7/4
All Systems Go silks

Mr & Mrs C R Stonebridge, Mr D C Stonebridge & Est

All Systems Go

4yo Gelding · 9-3

Gimmethegreenlight - My Everything (Dynasty)

Craig Zackey80%2/6Dean Smith60%
232781
7.0

4/10, career best when winning 7-runner minor event at this course (6f) 56 days ago. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage

24/10 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a24/1029/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 6f 211y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%24/10Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 67%16/01Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 13%7/03Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%31/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.9%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 85
8/1
Guy Gibson silks

Messrs P J Moor & A P Nydam

Guy Gibson

6yo Gelding · 9-3

Lancaster Bomber - Kiss And Fly (Jet Master)

C Maujean0/1Alan Greeff60%
436164
6.0

C&D winner. Latest win here in July. Creditable fourth of 11 in minor event (14/1) at this course (6f) 35 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Class Advantage

20/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/0213/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 6f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%20/02Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 55%23/05Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 17%17/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 70%21/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.2%Ahead 2/4
4
6
OR 68
14/1
Mr Fox silks

Hollywood Racing (nom: Mr A Delpech)

Mr Fox

5yo Gelding · 9-0

Canford Cliffs - Quick Brown Fox (Foxwedge)

Charles Ndlovu0/3Alan Greeff60%
739135
6.0

C&D winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Fifth of 7 in minor event (14/1) at this course (8f). Off 91 days. Has work to do.

Class Advantage

17/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a17/1014/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 6f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%17/10Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%22/12Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%1/05Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%26/06
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.5%Ahead 4/4
7
4
OR 73
25/1
Ingqwele silks

Hollywood Racing (nom: Mr A Delpech)

Ingqwele

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Fire Away - Dawn Calling (Trippi)

Blaine Marx-jacobsonCliffie Miller60%
115334
7.0

Course winner. 3 wins from 8 runs this year. Latest win here in May. 18/10, fourth of 6 in handicap at this course (8f) 16 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

20/03 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a20/0329/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength38%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 6f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%20/03Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 56%24/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 80%21/08Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 40%9/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.6%Ahead 1/4
5
5
OR 87
14/1
Black Egret silks

Hollywood Racing (nom: Mr A Delpech)

Black Egret

7yo Gelding · 9-0

Rafeef - Water Bird (Silvano)

Callan Murray70%0/1Juan Nel60%
115503
5.0

Course winner. Latest win here in June. 16/1, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Fairview (7f, good to soft) 14 days ago.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a15/0512/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 6f 211y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%15/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%3/07Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 10%21/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%11/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.7%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 79
25/1
Tripping Thunder silks

Messrs B J Fegen, P Govender, S S & P Naidoo & D C

Tripping Thunder

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Trippi - Captivating (Captain Al)

Wayne Agrella0/1Juan Nel60%
101676
4.0
Blinkers

C&D winner. 3 wins from 7 runs this year. Latest win here in May. 7/2, creditable sixth of 10 in handicap at Fairview (7f, good to soft) 14 days ago.

Class Advantage

23/01 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a23/013/04 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 6f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%23/01Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%11/05Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 40%21/08Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 44%11/09
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.8%Ahead 2/4
8
8
OR 54
50/1
Warhawk Bomber silks

Messrs M Havenga & W Marwing

Warhawk Bomber

6yo Gelding · 8-0

Lancaster Bomber - Bit On The Side (Jet Master)

M Yeni70%Kelly Mitchley60%
758270
3.0
Blinkers

Sixteen runs since last win in 2024. 100/1, first run since leaving W. C. Marwing when last of 11 in minor event at this course (6f) 35 days ago. Uphill task.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/045/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a12/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a1/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a23/10 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 6f 211y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 45%19/04Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 36%12/07Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%23/10Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%21/08
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.1%Ahead 1/4