6
Green Point
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 50
Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Maiden Plate(for All Maidens) · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 44% | -0.46 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 78% | -0.13 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 78% | -0.13 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |