8

Greenlight Jet

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 37

Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Maiden Plate(for All Maidens) · 5f 212y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. 50/1 and blinkered for 1st time, fourth of 6 in maiden at Fairview (6.5f) 16 days ago. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 8.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 24/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m209y Hvy 11724/06C8C8 @ Durbanville 09/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 118C8 @ Durbanville 27/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 11827/09C8C8 @ Kenilworth 04/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 119C8 @ Durbanville 21/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 11821/01C8C8 @ Durbanville 11/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 132C8 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f102y Std 11724/06C8C8 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 117C8 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f102y Std 1179/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Fairview?4th4th0
2026-08-21Fairview?6th6th0
2026-06-24Fairview?9th9th0
2026-02-11Durbanville?9th9th0
2026-01-21Durbanville?6th6th0
2026-01-04Kenilworth?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/064/0124/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength23%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20258th80/10%30%+0.30
09/09/20256th40/10%44%+0.44
27/09/20257th50/10%33%+0.33
04/01/202610th33/10%10%+0.10
21/01/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
11/02/20269th80/10%0%0.00
24/06/20269th40/10%11%+0.11
21/08/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
09/09/20264th40/10%40%+0.40