9

Palme D'or

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 42

Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Maiden Plate(for All Maidens) · 5f 212y

#6

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Eighth of 10 in maiden (66/1) at Fairview (7f). Off 98 days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 11/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13411/05C8C8 @ Fairview 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13219/06C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19Fairview?8th8th0
2026-05-11Fairview?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0519/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength33%

Delivery trend +11.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20269th40/10%11%+0.11
19/06/20268th50/10%22%+0.22