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7

Among The Willows

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 55

Fairview · Racing Today Open Maiden (f & M)(for All Maiden Fillies & Mares) · 5f 212y

#2

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

50%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Third of 6 in maiden (5/2) at Fairview (6.5f) 16 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 22/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 12622/05C8C8 @ Fairview 14/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13214/08C8C8 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f102y Std 1309/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-08-14Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-05-22Fairview?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0514/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%

Delivery trend -12.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20263rd7/282%80%-0.02
14/08/20263rd9/488%67%-0.21
09/09/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27