3
Storm Ballet
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 22
Fairview · Racing Today Open Maiden (f & M)(for All Maiden Fillies & Mares) · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/12/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 27/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 10% | -0.51 |