9
Tipsy
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 50
Fairview · Racing Today Open Maiden (f & M)(for All Maiden Fillies & Mares) · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -9.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 76% | +0.40 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.20 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 45% | -0.36 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |