8
Tp Thunderchild
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 56
Fairview · Racing Today Open Maiden (f & M)(for All Maiden Fillies & Mares) · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |