7

Alado's Pride

9yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 60

Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Classified Stakes(for All Horses) · 7f 210y

#7

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Twenty runs since last win in 2025. Creditable second of 12 in handicap (20/1) at this C&D (good to soft) 14 days ago. Shortlist material.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fairview 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 13215/05C5C7 @ Fairview 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 138C5 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 13224/06C5C5 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 128C7 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13024/07C7C7 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 134C5 @ Fairview 14/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 12314/08C5C5 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f205y GS 128C7 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f210y GS 12711/09C7projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Fairview?2nd5th−3
2026-08-28Fairview?7th7th0
2026-08-14Fairview?8th8th0
2026-07-31Fairview?5th8th−3
2026-07-24Fairview?9th12th−2
2026-07-17Fairview?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0517/0714/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength97%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20265th8/158%64%+0.06
12/06/20268th18/15%53%+0.48
24/06/20267th18/15%54%+0.49
17/07/20265th22/10%56%+0.56
24/07/20269th9/153%11%-0.42
31/07/20265th16/116%71%+0.56
14/08/20268th12/137%36%-0.00
28/08/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
11/09/20262nd12/137%91%+0.54