9
Pardon Me
7yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 47
Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Classified Stakes(for All Horses) · 7f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-14 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength87%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 10/04/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 42% | -0.37 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 22% | -0.46 |
| 03/07/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |