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5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 44
Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Classified Stakes(for All Horses) · 7f 210y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Kenilworth | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Kenilworth | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Durbanville | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 27/08/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 63% | -0.31 |
| 03/05/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 05/06/2026 | 10th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 31/07/2026 | 12th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |