2
Supreme Judge
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 54
Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Classified Stakes(for All Horses) · 7f 210y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 11th | 14th | −2 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-11 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 63% | -0.31 |
| 16/01/2026 | 8th | 7/4 | 91% | 30% | -0.61 |
| 10/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 10/08/2026 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |