10
Chroniclesofnania
7yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 43
Fairview · #youcanbetonus! Fm 68 Handicap (f & M)(for Fillies And Mares) · 7f 210y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 10th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 27/02/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 18% | -0.53 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 18% | -0.50 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.32 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |