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5

Fleur De Ville

5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 32

Fairview · #youcanbetonus! Fm 68 Handicap (f & M)(for Fillies And Mares) · 7f 210y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

One win from 25 Flat runs. Winner here in June. 14/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 28 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 05/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1275/10C8C8 @ Kenilworth 02/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 137C8 @ Kenilworth 15/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 12715/11C8C8 @ Kenilworth 17/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 132C8 @ Kenilworth 04/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1274/02C8C8 @ Fairview 22/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 123C8 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12324/06C8C7 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Std 129C7 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y GS 120 · HIGHER CLASS28/08C7projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fairview?8th8th+0
2026-07-17Fairview?4th4th−0
2026-06-24Fairview?1st2nd−1
2026-04-22Fairview?8th9th−1
2026-02-04Kenilworth?9th10th−1
2025-12-17Kenilworth?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1017/1224/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength32%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/20259th66/10%11%+0.11
02/11/202510th40/10%0%0.00
15/11/20254th66/10%40%+0.40
17/12/20253rd40/10%75%+0.75
04/02/20269th18/15%20%+0.15
22/04/20268th9/153%0%-0.53
24/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
17/07/20264th28/10%77%+0.77
28/08/20268th11/142%30%-0.12