4

Qondanekukhanyeni

5yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 50

Fairview · #youcanbetonus! Fm 68 Handicap (f & M)(for Fillies And Mares) · 7f 210y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

One win from 26 Flat runs. Twenty runs since last win in 2024. 6/1, fifth of 6 in handicap at Fairview (9.9f) 35 days ago. Back down in trip. Booking of Murray a plus.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength79%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Scottsville 31/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS31/084C7 @ Fairview 14/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 06/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 1336/01C7C6 @ Fairview 20/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 13/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13713/03C7C7 @ Fairview 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Std 134C5 @ Fairview 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS26/06C5C6 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 117 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 12921/08C7projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Fairview?5th5th0
2026-07-31Fairview?3rd2nd+1
2026-06-26Fairview?5th2nd+3
2026-06-05Fairview?4th4th0
2026-03-13Fairview?3rd3rd−0
2026-02-20Fairview?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0820/0226/0621/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength59%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/202511th28/10%0%0.00
14/11/202511th40/10%0%0.00
06/01/202612th40/10%8%+0.08
20/02/20265th40/10%71%+0.71
13/03/20263rd12/137%82%+0.45
05/06/20264th10/147%70%+0.23
26/06/20265th17/255%56%+0.00
31/07/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
21/08/20265th6/168%20%-0.48