2

Rock Me Mama

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 67

Fairview · #youcanbetonus! Fm 68 Handicap (f & M)(for Fillies And Mares) · 7f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

16/10

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner here in June. 13/2, respectable second of 11 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 28 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 4f214y GS 1326/02C8C9 @ Fairview 20/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12620/02C9C8 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13210/04C8C8 @ Fairview 11/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13211/05C8C8 @ Fairview 12/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12312/06C8C7 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f210y GS 119 · HIGHER CLASS28/08C7projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fairview?2nd2nd+0
2026-06-12Fairview?1st2nd−1
2026-05-11Fairview?5th6th−1
2026-04-10Fairview?3rd4th−1
2026-02-20Fairview?4th6th−2
2026-02-06Fairview?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0220/0210/0411/0512/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16
20/02/20264th6/168%57%-0.11
10/04/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59
11/05/20265th1/398%50%-0.48
12/06/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
28/08/20262nd11/271%90%+0.19