6

Saboteur

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 59

Fairview · #youcanbetonus! Fm 68 Handicap (f & M)(for Fillies And Mares) · 7f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

80%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner here in May. 16/1, below form second of 10 in handicap at Fairview (7f) 30 days ago. On a lenient mark on pick of form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 30/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13230/01C8C9 @ Fairview 20/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12620/02C9C8 @ Fairview 20/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13220/03C8C8 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13210/04C8C8 @ Fairview 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13211/05C8C7 @ Fairview 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12326/08C7projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Fairview?2nd2nd−0
2026-05-11Fairview?1st2nd−1
2026-04-10Fairview?9th10th−1
2026-03-20Fairview?4th5th−1
2026-02-20Fairview?7th9th−2
2026-01-30Fairview?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0120/0220/0310/0411/0526/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +20.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20264th11/271%63%-0.09
20/02/20267th11/142%14%-0.28
20/03/20264th22/10%40%+0.40
10/04/20269th28/10%0%0.00
11/05/20261st40/10%100%+1.00
26/08/20262nd14/126%89%+0.63