8

Tokyo Princess

6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 45

Fairview · #youcanbetonus! Fm 68 Handicap (f & M)(for Fillies And Mares) · 7f 210y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fifteen runs since last win in 2024. 125/1, seventh of 12 in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 14 days ago. Uphill task.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kenilworth 21/06/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS21/0645 @ Durbanville 21/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Kenilworth 25/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS25/0255 @ Kenilworth 31/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f102y Std 1281/07C7C7 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Std 130C5 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS31/07C5C7 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 118 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y GS 12211/09C7projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Fairview?7th7th0
2026-09-09Fairview?3rd3rd+0
2026-07-31Fairview?10th7th+3
2026-07-17Fairview?11th11th−0
2026-07-01Fairview?10th10th0
2026-05-31Kenilworth512th10th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0631/0531/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/202511th66/10%0%0.00
21/01/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
25/02/20269th80/10%0%0.00
31/05/202612th100/10%8%+0.08
01/07/202610th40/10%0%0.00
17/07/202611th80/10%23%+0.23
31/07/202610th100/10%18%+0.18
09/09/20263rd14/126%75%+0.49
11/09/20267th80/10%45%+0.45