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4

Blue Palace

5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 48

Fairview · Tab 4racing App Mr 66 Handicap(open) · 6f 211y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Thirteen runs since last win in 2025. Sixth of 9 in handicap at Fairview (8f, 10/1) 16 days ago. Can make presence felt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS9/01C7C5 @ Fairview 13/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 6f211y Std 120 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Fairview 20/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 118 · HIGHER CLASS20/03C6C7 @ Fairview 22/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 136 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS8/05C7C7 @ Fairview 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS1/07C7C7 @ Fairview 10/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS9/09C7projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Fairview?6th6th+0
2026-08-10Fairview?3rd3rd+0
2026-07-01Fairview?6th6th+0
2026-06-05Fairview?2nd2nd+0
2026-05-08Fairview?2nd2nd+0
2026-04-22Fairview?5th5th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0122/041/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%

Delivery trend -8.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/01/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
13/02/20265th33/10%20%+0.20
20/03/202610th33/10%18%+0.18
22/04/20265th10/147%56%+0.08
08/05/20262nd10/147%91%+0.44
05/06/20262nd9/488%90%+0.02
01/07/20266th2/189%50%-0.39
10/08/20263rd11/271%80%+0.09
09/09/20266th8/158%38%-0.20