8
Cheerful Charlie B
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 56
Fairview · Tab 4racing App Mr 66 Handicap(open) · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength77%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |