10

Free World

6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 45

Fairview · Tab 4racing App Mr 66 Handicap(open) · 6f 211y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. One win from 26 Flat runs. Bit below form seventh of 12 in handicap (10/1) at this course (6f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Has good chance on pick of form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 28/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS28/11C7C7 @ Fairview 06/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f102y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 30/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS30/01C7C7 @ Fairview 03/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 117 · HIGHER CLASS15/05C7C7 @ Fairview 08/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Std 128C7 @ Fairview 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS3/07C7C7 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 126 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS11/09C7projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Fairview?7th7th+0
2026-08-07Fairview?5th5th+0
2026-07-03Fairview?4th4th+0
2026-06-08Fairview?3rd3rd−0
2026-05-15Fairview?3rd2nd+1
2026-04-03Fairview?9th9th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/113/043/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength37%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20254th20/10%73%+0.73
06/01/20265th8/158%64%+0.06
30/01/20266th5/174%44%-0.29
03/04/20269th15/261%38%-0.22
15/05/20263rd12/137%80%+0.43
08/06/20263rd7/163%83%+0.20
03/07/20264th18/15%67%+0.61
07/08/20265th15/261%50%-0.11
11/09/20267th8/158%45%-0.12