6

Mio Destino

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 44

Fairview · Tab 4racing App Mr 66 Handicap(open) · 6f 211y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

6/1, below form fourth of 9 in minor event at Fairview (6f) 16 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength70%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 12/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13012/12C8C5 @ Fairview 02/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 06/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS6/02C7C8 @ Fairview 06/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y 118C7 @ Fairview 01/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS1/05C7C6 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 6f102y Std 117 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS24/07C7C7 @ Fairview 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Fairview?4th1st+3
2026-08-14Fairview?5th4th+1
2026-07-24Fairview?3rd3rd+0
2026-06-24Fairview?4th3rd+1
2026-05-01Fairview?6th5th+1
2026-03-06Fairview?8th9th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/126/0324/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/20251st17/255%100%+0.45
02/01/20268th22/10%0%0.00
06/02/202612th40/10%8%+0.08
06/03/20268th33/10%30%+0.30
01/05/20266th40/10%55%+0.55
24/06/20264th40/10%75%+0.75
24/07/20263rd6/168%82%+0.13
14/08/20265th4/179%50%-0.29
09/09/20264th6/168%63%-0.06