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2

Pedro

8yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 49

Fairview · Tab 4racing App Mr 66 Handicap(open) · 6f 211y

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

4-time course winner. Eighth of 9 in handicap (17/2) at Fairview (7f) 21 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 135 · HIGHER CLASS6/02C7C5 @ Fairview 27/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 77 · 6f211y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 77 parC6 @ Fairview 20/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Sft 117 · HIGHER CLASS20/03C6C6 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 22/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS22/05C7C6 @ Fairview 05/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 116 · HIGHER CLASS24/07C6C7 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 138 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS4/09C7projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Fairview?8th8th+0
2026-08-07Fairview?3rd3rd+0
2026-07-24Fairview?8th7th+1
2026-06-05Fairview?8th7th+1
2026-05-22Fairview?12th12th+0
2026-04-10Fairview?8th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0210/0424/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength59%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20263rd6/168%83%+0.15
27/02/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
20/03/20265th22/10%56%+0.56
10/04/20268th9/276%36%-0.40
22/05/202612th28/10%0%0.00
05/06/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
24/07/20268th50/10%22%+0.22
07/08/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
04/09/20268th7/163%13%-0.51