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9

Silent Trigger

8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 53

Fairview · Tab 4racing App Mr 66 Handicap(open) · 6f 211y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twenty nine runs since last win in 2023. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable third of 7 in minor event at Fairview (8f, 9/2) 42 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength89%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 24/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS24/10C7C7 @ Fairview 19/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 16/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS16/01C5C5 @ Fairview 03/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 10/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS10/03C7C6 @ Fairview 08/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 115 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS26/06C5C7 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 14/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS14/08C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Fairview?3rd0th+3
2026-07-24Fairview?3rd3rd+0
2026-06-26Fairview?4th1st+3
2026-06-08Fairview?8th7th+1
2026-03-10Fairview?7th7th+0
2026-02-03Fairview?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/103/0226/0614/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20255th14/126%56%+0.29
19/12/20253rd12/137%78%+0.41
16/01/20264th9/276%70%-0.06
03/02/20263rd7/282%82%+0.00
10/03/20267th9/276%45%-0.31
08/06/20268th40/10%22%+0.22
26/06/20264th9/153%67%+0.14
24/07/20263rd5/174%78%+0.04
14/08/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12