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11

Ziyan's Pride

4yo Gelding · 8-4 · OR 39

Fairview · Tab 4racing App Mr 66 Handicap(open) · 6f 211y

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Eleven runs since last win in 2025. Thirteenth of 15 in minor event at Scottsville (8f, good, 66/1) 58 days ago. First run for yard after leaving M. J. Odendaal. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength93%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Scottsville 14/12/2025 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y GS 126 · HIGHER CLASS14/1244 @ Greyville 31/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Scottsville 25/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f153y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS25/01C5C5 @ Scottsville 15/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f153y GS 136 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 08/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS8/03C5C5 @ Greyville 03/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 20/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS20/05C5C5 @ Greyville 22/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Scottsville 29/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS29/07C5projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Scottsville?13th10th+3
2026-06-22Greyville?10th7th+3
2026-05-20Greyville?11th8th+3
2026-04-03Greyville?10th7th+3
2026-03-08Greyville?7th4th+3
2026-02-15Scottsville?10th7th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1215/0220/0529/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength52%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/12/202516th33/10%0%0.00
31/12/20259th80/10%0%0.00
25/01/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
15/02/202610th66/10%0%0.00
08/03/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
03/04/202610th40/10%0%0.00
20/05/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
22/06/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
29/07/202613th66/10%14%+0.14