7

Rip Wheeler

4yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 48

Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 82 Handicap(open) · 6f 211y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner here in June. 50/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, fourth of 7 in minor event at Fairview (6f) 56 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 07/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f169y GS 1327/03C8C8 @ Vaal 28/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13228/03C8C8 @ Turffontein 28/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f169y GS 13228/04C8C8 @ Fairview 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13229/05C8C8 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f102y Std 12024/06C8C6 @ Fairview 10/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12210/07C6C8 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13131/07C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Fairview?4th6th−1
2026-07-10Fairview?8th8th−0
2026-06-24Fairview?1st3rd−2
2026-05-29Fairview?5th7th−2
2026-04-28Turffontein?7th9th−2
2026-03-28Vaal?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0329/0531/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength36%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
28/03/20266th18/15%38%+0.32
28/04/20267th11/271%14%-0.57
29/05/20265th22/10%60%+0.60
24/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
10/07/20268th5/174%13%-0.61
31/07/20264th33/10%50%+0.50