8

Warhawk Bomber

6yo Gelding · 8-0 · OR 54

Fairview · Nelson Mandela Bay Racing Poly Challenge(open - 2nd Leg (non-blk Type)) · 6f 211y

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sixteen runs since last win in 2024. 100/1, first run since leaving W. C. Marwing when last of 11 in minor event at this course (6f) 35 days ago. Uphill task.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Turffontein 30/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12630/11C5C0 @ Vaal 24/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f73y GS 126C6 @ Turffontein 27/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13727/02C6C5 @ Turffontein 19/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 125C6 @ Turffontein 05/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1325/06C6C6 @ Turffontein 12/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 131C0 @ Greyville 01/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1301/08C?C6 @ Vaal 23/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 129C0 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 11521/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Fairview?11th11th0
2025-10-23Vaal?7th7th0
2025-08-01Greyville?2nd2nd0
2025-07-12Turffontein?8th8th0
2025-06-05Turffontein?5th5th0
2025-04-19Turffontein?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1119/041/0821/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/11/20244th18/15%70%+0.65
24/12/20245th8/158%60%+0.02
27/02/20258th16/116%36%+0.21
19/04/20257th14/126%45%+0.19
05/06/20255th12/137%69%+0.32
12/07/20258th11/142%36%-0.06
01/08/20252nd15/261%86%+0.25
23/10/20257th5/174%50%-0.24
21/08/202611th66/10%0%0.00