9

Away With Red

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 54

Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Wednesday 30 September Mr 74 Handicap(open) · 5f 212y

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. One win from 23 Flat runs. Creditable third of 9 in handicap (17/2) at Fairview (7f) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength67%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 21/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS21/11C7C7 @ Fairview 29/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 132C7 @ Fairview 06/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1276/02C7C5 @ Fairview 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 119 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS10/04C5C7 @ Fairview 22/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 126C7 @ Fairview 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 117 · HIGHER CLASS12/06C7C6 @ Fairview 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 115 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1284/09C7projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Fairview?3rd4th−0
2026-06-26Fairview?4th4th+0
2026-06-12Fairview?5th5th+0
2026-05-22Fairview?9th10th−0
2026-04-10Fairview?7th5th+2
2026-02-27Fairview?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1127/0212/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength77%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20259th28/10%20%+0.20
29/12/20258th22/10%13%+0.13
06/02/20265th66/10%67%+0.67
27/02/20262nd16/116%92%+0.76
10/04/20267th25/10%65%+0.65
22/05/20269th16/116%27%+0.11
12/06/20265th11/142%50%+0.08
26/06/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
04/09/20263rd15/261%75%+0.14