6
Eugenius
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 57
Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Wednesday 30 September Mr 74 Handicap(open) · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength52%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 73% | -0.18 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |