Notorix
8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 56
Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Wednesday 30 September Mr 74 Handicap(open) · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Fairview | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | ? | 9th | 9th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 03/02/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 13/03/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 27/03/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 36% | -0.29 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |
| 09/09/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |