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11

Power Of Tiger

5yo Mare · 8-3 · OR 37

Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Wednesday 30 September Mr 74 Handicap(open) · 5f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner here in May. 40/1, seventh of 10 in minor event at this course (7f, good to soft) 14 days ago. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 29/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13229/01C8C8 @ Vaal 10/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 127C8 @ Turffontein 14/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13214/03C8C8 @ Vaal 02/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 132C8 @ Fairview 22/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13222/05C8C7 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 128C7 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f102y Std 1261/07C7C7 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 125C5 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 110 · HIGHER CLASS11/09C5projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Fairview?7th5th+2
2026-08-07Fairview?9th10th−0
2026-07-01Fairview?8th9th−0
2026-06-24Fairview?9th10th−0
2026-05-22Fairview?1st3rd−1
2026-04-02Vaal?7th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/012/041/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength59%

Delivery trend +7.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/01/20265th6/492%50%-0.42
10/02/20266th7/282%0%-0.82
14/03/20264th22/10%63%+0.63
02/04/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
22/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
24/06/20269th33/10%20%+0.20
01/07/20268th40/10%22%+0.22
07/08/20269th14/126%11%-0.15
11/09/20267th33/10%33%+0.33