3
Deepest Water
4yo Filly · 8-4 · OR 60
Greyville · In The Box Seat Podcast Brought To You By Gallop TV Class 4 (F & M) · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Scottsville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Greyville | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength100%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 28/06/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |