6
Showgirl
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 71
Greyville · In The Box Seat Podcast Brought To You By Gallop TV Class 4 (F & M) · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Scottsville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Kenilworth | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2024-02-24 | Kenilworth | ? | 14th | 19th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/2024 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 24/02/2024 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 21/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 10/11/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 26/11/2025 | 6th | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |