4
Thought Control
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 75
Greyville · In The Box Seat Podcast Brought To You By Gallop TV Class 4 (F & M) · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
74%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Greyville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Greyville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Scottsville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |