8
Wedding Vow
4yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 84
Greyville · In The Box Seat Podcast Brought To You By Gallop TV Class 4 (F & M) · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength1%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Greyville | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength96%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 24/12/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 13/01/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/02/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 06/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |