Charlie Croker
7yo Gelding · 8-4 · OR 42
Greyville · Tote For The Win Middle Stakes · 6f 211y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Greyville | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Scottsville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Greyville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-12-07 | Kenilworth | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2024-11-16 | Kenilworth | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2024 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 31/08/2024 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 21/09/2024 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 16/11/2024 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 58% | +0.16 |
| 07/12/2024 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 28/01/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 29/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |