5
Nordic Chief
6yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 86
Greyville · Tote For The Win Middle Stakes · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 18% | -0.24 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |