2

Viking Leader

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 94

Greyville · Tote For The Win Middle Stakes · 6f 211y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

2 wins from 4 runs this year. 40/1, career best when winning 12-runner listed race at this C&D (good) by ¾ length from Kazenoyoni. Off 111 days. Booking of Ramkhalawon a plus.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength19%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 11/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13211/03C8C8 @ Greyville 27/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13227/03C8C8 @ Scottsville 26/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12326/04C8C1 @ Greyville 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS6/06C1projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Greyville?1st-3th+4
2026-04-26Scottsville?1st5th−4
2026-03-27Greyville?3rd7th−4
2026-03-11Scottsville?3rd7th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0327/0326/046/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +13.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/20263rd14/126%83%+0.57
27/03/20263rd10/382%85%+0.02
26/04/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
06/06/20261st22/10%100%+1.00