6
Banff
5yo Gelding · 9-3
Greyville · Lucky Fish Mystic Dash B Stakes · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Scottsville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/02/2025 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 15/06/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 47% | -0.22 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 62% | +0.01 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |