Best Of All
4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 68
Greyville · Lucky Fish Mystic Dash B Stakes · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-12-14 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 93% | +0.02 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |