7
Hithemhardsunshine
7yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 74
Greyville · Lucky Fish Mystic Dash B Stakes · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength56%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Greyville | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-02-06 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |
| 22/10/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 07/11/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 05/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |