Dog Soldier

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 28

Greyville · Join The Fun www.socialsquad.co.za Class 5 · 7f 210y

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▲2

Strength18%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.9

Today: 5

Class gap: -1.9

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-04	Greyville	?	9th	8th	+1	1.6
2026-08-21	Greyville	5	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-06-20	Greyville	?	1st	5th	−3	5.4
2026-05-23	Scottsville	?	9th	13th	−3	1.0
2026-05-09	Greyville	?	5th	9th	−3	1.4
2026-04-24	Greyville	?	6th	10th	−3	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength9%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
08/02/2026	5th	28/1	0%	20%	+0.20
24/04/2026	6th	33/1	0%	38%	+0.38
09/05/2026	5th	66/1	0%	69%	+0.69
23/05/2026	9th	10/1	47%	0%	-0.47
20/06/2026	1st	7/1	63%	100%	+0.37
21/08/2026	6th	20/1	0%	38%	+0.38
04/09/2026	9th	66/1	0%	0%	0.00