1
Heaven's Will
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 46
Greyville · Join The Fun www.socialsquad.co.za Class 5 · 7f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength58%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Greyville | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Greyville | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greyville | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 22/03/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 64% | -0.19 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 45% | -0.15 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |