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3

Slytherin

5yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 57

Greyville · Join The Fun www.socialsquad.co.za Class 5 · 7f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

90%

Place Prob

63%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Fourth of 7 in handicap at Greyville (7f, AW, 28/10) 5 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Greyville 16/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS16/0745 @ Greyville 05/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1375 @ Greyville 26/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m209y GS 13226/095C5 @ Greyville 19/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y GS 136 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 26/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS26/12C55 @ Scottsville 26/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 7f101y Sft 132C5 @ Greyville 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS18/08C55 @ Greyville 28/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m209y Hvy 1325 @ Greyville 20/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13020/095projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Greyville54th4th0
2026-08-28Greyville57th7th0
2026-08-18Greyville?4th3rd+1
2026-04-26Scottsville59th9th0
2025-12-26Greyville?1st0th+1
2025-10-19Greyville?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0719/1018/0820/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength70%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20259th33/10%0%0.00
05/09/20258th22/10%22%+0.22
26/09/20255th11/271%64%-0.07
19/10/20252nd17/255%89%+0.34
26/12/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
26/04/20269th15/261%43%-0.18
18/08/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
28/08/20267th28/10%57%+0.57
20/09/20264th9/488%50%-0.38