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8

Kubu

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 83

Greyville · Lucky Fish Fortune Cup Middle Stakes (F & M) · 7f 210y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

8/1, good 3¼ lengths fifth of 12 to Mocha Blend in Gr 2 at this course (9.9f, good) 61 days ago. Back down in trip. Plenty to find on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 13218/10C8C8 @ Kenilworth 10/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12810/11C8C8 @ Kenilworth 17/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13217/12C84 @ Durbanville 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS17/014C1 @ Kenilworth 28/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS28/02C1C0 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS26/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Greyville?5th0th+4
2026-02-28Kenilworth?3rd-1th+4
2026-01-17Durbanville43rd2nd+1
2025-12-17Kenilworth?1st5th−4
2025-11-10Kenilworth?3rd7th−4
2025-10-18Durbanville?6th10th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1010/1117/1217/0128/0226/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/10/20256th66/10%55%+0.55
10/11/20253rd5/174%78%+0.04
17/12/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
17/01/20263rd10/382%75%-0.07
28/02/20263rd11/142%67%+0.25
26/07/20265th8/158%64%+0.06