2

Miss Ladyaterix
5yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 77
Greyville · Lucky Fish Fortune Cup Middle Stakes (F & M) · 7f 210y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength59%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Scottsville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Greyville | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-13 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Scottsville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 29% | -0.58 |
| 18/02/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |