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7

Miss Twinkle

5yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 79

Greyville · Lucky Fish Fortune Cup Middle Stakes (F & M) · 7f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3-time C&D winner. Didn't need to improve to win 9-runner listed race at this C&D (good to soft, 9/2) 49 days ago by ½ length from That's My Baby.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 20/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13220/08C8C8 @ Greyville 26/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 7f210y GS 1324 @ Greyville 12/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS12/1044 @ Greyville 12/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Scottsville 14/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m154y GS 131 · HIGHER CLASS14/124C5 @ Scottsville 11/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y GS 122C0 @ Scottsville 05/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m154y GS 1225/04C?3 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Greyville 07/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f210y GS 126 · HIGHER CLASS7/08C1projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Greyville?1st-3th+4
2026-06-28Scottsville34th2nd+2
2026-04-05Scottsville?10th10th0
2026-03-11Scottsville?3rd3rd0
2025-12-14Scottsville41st0th+1
2025-11-12Greyville44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0812/115/047/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20254th11/271%70%-0.01
26/09/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
12/10/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
12/11/20254th11/271%63%-0.09
14/12/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
11/03/20263rd3/184%67%-0.18
05/04/202610th3/184%0%-0.84
28/06/20264th5/174%57%-0.17
07/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26